Dynamic Asset Allocation

Current Assumptions based on:

S&P 500 Shiller CAPE: 38.45

CAPE Rank: 98%

Expected return on.stocks: 1%

 

Yield on 10 year Treasury Bond: 4.47%

Expected return on bonds: 4.47%


Optimal Mix: 20% Stocks, 80% Bonds

Expected Return Stocks/Bonds Mix: .2+3.58 = 3.78%

 

With expected returns on stocks at 1% due to high valuations, the optimal mix will take advantage of the 3% inflation rate and The Fed in no hurry to raise rates. An allocation to Municipal bonds for after tax retirement allocations is recommended.


Quantitative Algorithms, 230 E48th Street, New York, NY 10017

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